TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It will be determined whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings into additional rounds of play. This outcome depends solely on the game's progression during the match.
If Kansas City and Los Angeles D go to extra innings in the Kansas City vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, the Extra Innings market often reflects broader public betting trends, while prediction markets isolate trader sentiment specifically for this outcome. This can create notable differences in implied probabilities. For example, if sportsbooks show a 55% chance of extra innings, Kalshi traders might price it higher or lower based on their unique analysis. The contrast offers investors insight into where institutional versus retail sentiment diverges for this market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double-auction system where buyers and sellers post bids and asks that converge toward an equilibrium price. The current probability reflects the best available bid-ask spread, updated in real time as new orders arrive. Volume of $3,352 shows liquidity depth, while recent $2,135 indicates short-term trading activity shaping the price dynamics for the Extra Innings market.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the game goes into extra innings, as officially recorded by league authorities at the conclusion of regular play.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game length, and in-game momentum shifts once the match begins. Injuries to star players or strategic decisions by managers could also influence perceptions of a extended contest. As Aug 11, 2026 approaches, real-time betting trends on other platforms and social media sentiment may create waves of buying or selling pressure that alter probabilities for this market.