TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This result hinges on whether the professional baseball contest between Kansas City and Los Angeles A, scheduled for August 16, 2026, requires additional innings to determine a winner because neither team leads at the end of the ninth inning.
If Kansas City and Los Angeles A go to extra innings in the Kansas City vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for each possible outcome. The current top bid and ask prices determine the market’s implied probability, shown as a percentage. Trader activity, news about participating teams, and game dynamics all feed into these prices, allowing rapid adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than the standard nine innings, with official score updates serving as the final reference point for settlement.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher changes, weather delays, or injuries to star players — all of which affect the expected game length. Additionally, any significant performance trends or strategic decisions by managers may influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, real-time updates and pre-game announcements will most strongly impact pricing on Kalshi.