TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both Kansas City and Houston in an upcoming MLS soccer match. Each market evaluates whether a team scores a specific number of goals, providing different thresholds for scoring success. The outcomes depend solely on the goals scored during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The official rules for this event collectively assess the goal-scoring performance of both Kansas City and Houston in their MLS match scheduled for August 1, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals each team scores after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Own goals are counted toward the team to which they are awarded. Each market sets a distinct threshold—0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals—for each team, determining whether the team’s performance meets or exceeds that threshold. A score above the specified threshold results in a 'Yes' resolution for that particular market, while failing to meet the threshold results in a 'No' resolution. These rules ensure clarity and consistency in evaluating each team’s offensive output within the defined parameters of regular time scoring.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their totals based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and speculative interest. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger divergences, depending on recent performance, injuries, or shifting public perception of the teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the market’s expectation for the total points scored, adjusted for liquidity and trader positioning. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or changes in team strategy — the price can shift rapidly based on the flow of trades and overall market interest.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verified against credible public reporting. The final total points scored by both teams will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner, based on the rules defined by Kalshi for this specific event.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, changes to starting lineups, weather conditions affecting game play, and recent performance trends in practice or pre-game scrimmages. Any development that impacts the perceived scoring potential of either team — whether offensive strength, defensive adjustments, or coaching strategies — may cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to noticeable price movements as the event approaches.