TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
The Kansas City and Houston baseball teams will face off in a competitive match where the game's outcome isn't determined within the standard nine innings. Extra innings occur when the score is tied after the ninth inning, extending play until one team takes the lead at the end of a full inning.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Kansas City vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or that they simply have different interpretations of the available data. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders’ actions directly influence these prices, creating a dynamic and efficient mechanism for aggregating information. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas City vs Houston game, including any extra innings played. The final score and official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Major announcements about pitching matchups or lineup changes could also cause the market to react. Additionally, any public statements from team personnel or analysts that significantly alter perceptions of the game’s likely outcome could lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.