TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The event concerns a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It focuses on whether the game will extend beyond the regular innings due to a tie score at the end of the ninth inning. The outcome depends on whether the game will require additional innings to determine a winner.
If Kansas City and Detroit go to extra innings in the Kansas City vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven directly by trader sentiment and real-time betting dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting patterns and historical data, this market captures more granular, event-specific expectations from participants.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate belief about extra innings occurring. The market’s probability indicator is derived from the best available bid-ask spread, adjusted for liquidity and trader positioning, showing how Kalshi users evaluate the game’s potential length.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game goes beyond the standard nine innings, and the platform will finalize the market based on official game records and widely accepted sports news sources.
Injuries, weather delays, or strategic decisions by coaches could shift expectations for a longer game and move this market. Pitching matchups and recent team performance trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the start time approaches, any news affecting player availability or game conditions can cause rapid shifts in odds on Kalshi.