TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers. On Kalshi, the current probability that Kansas City will win is 88.0%, while Detroit has a 13.0% chance. The resolution will be based on the game result. Watch for the game on July 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, as this is the event that will determine the market outcome.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Kansas City vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Traders on Kalshi set prices based on their expectations for the Chiefs vs Lions matchup market, which can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and market structures. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets often react more quickly to new information and shifts in trader confidence. This difference can lead to variations in implied probabilities, making Kalshi an interesting venue for comparing speculative outlooks against more established betting markets.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on official game records and widely accepted sources, ensuring an impartial, data-driven settlement that aligns with real-world results.
Several key developments could influence this market before Jul 25, 2026. Injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performances in earlier matchups can all shift trader expectations. Additionally, broader factors such as weather conditions on game day or emerging market sentiment around team momentum may cause fluctuations. As the event approaches, any public polling data or expert analysis released will likely impact pricing, reflecting updated probabilities for the final outcome.