TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kansas City will win the professional baseball game against Cleveland. On Kalshi, Kansas City wins currently holds a probability of 94.0%, while Cleveland wins is at 6.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game result as specified in the official rules. The decisive moment to watch will be the game scheduled for August 29, 2026, which will determine the final market resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the specified professional baseball game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are separate for each team, with each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes. While sportsbooks may reflect broader public betting patterns and adjusted lines, prediction markets like this one price in real time based on the flow of Kalshi trader activity. The resulting odds can therefore show sharper shifts ahead of key events or news, offering a distinct view compared to standard sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final game outcome, which is then matched against the market's defined conditions to close trading and finalize payouts for all participants.
Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or significant performance shifts leading up to the game can all impact this market. Additionally, any major news affecting team morale or strategy — along with evolving Kalshi trader sentiment — may cause price fluctuations as the contest draws nearer. These factors often drive volume changes and odds adjustments in the final weeks.