TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market tracks individual team run totals in the Kansas City vs Chicago White Sox game scheduled for June 27, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will exceed various run thresholds during the full game.
Each team's run total is evaluated independently against multiple thresholds. For Chicago White Sox, the market resolves to Yes if the team scores at or above 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs respectively across the designated outcomes. For Kansas City, the same run thresholds apply. Resolution is based on the final official score of the complete game as originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may price outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks because traders here are directly rewarded for accuracy rather than volume. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of active traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to move in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh data and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the World Series concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result of the Kansas City versus Chicago matchup. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution happens automatically once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key injuries, roster changes, or trades involving either team could significantly shift trader sentiment in this market. Playoff performance, momentum heading into the World Series, and weather conditions on game day all influence how traders reassess the odds. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action on traditional sportsbooks often trigger repricing here as well. Any unexpected development—from managerial decisions to player health updates—may cause sharp moves as traders recalibrate their positions.