TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market determines which team leads after the first five innings of the Kansas City vs Chicago White Sox game on June 27, 2026, including the possibility of a tied score. Bettors predict the outcome after exactly five complete innings.
The market resolves based on the score at the end of the fifth inning. If Kansas City leads after five innings, the Kansas City outcome resolves to Yes. If Chicago White Sox leads after five innings, the Chicago White Sox outcome resolves to Yes. If the score is tied after five innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction markets like this one often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than relying on fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks manage liability and adjust for action, while prediction markets reflect live consensus among participants who have direct financial exposure. This market can move more fluidly in response to late-breaking information, making it a useful benchmark for comparing against published sportsbook spreads and totals on the same matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active participants, with spreads tightening as volume increases and more traders compete on both sides. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the first five innings of the World Series game between Kansas City and Chicago are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team is ahead after exactly five innings of play. Resolution occurs shortly after the conclusion of that inning, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the final score at that checkpoint.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, weather conditions at game time, and any last-minute injury updates. Early game momentum—such as runs scored in the first inning or defensive plays—will shift trader sentiment sharply once the game begins. Pre-game analysis from major sports outlets and expert predictions can also influence positioning. Weather delays or unexpected roster changes announced hours before first pitch may create sudden repricing as traders reassess their edge.