TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox fans will be eager to see if their teams can light the scoreboard in the first inning of this interleague clash.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Kansas City vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. However, as more information becomes available – such as starting pitchers or weather reports – sportsbook odds will adjust, potentially converging with or diverging from the prices seen here. It's common to see differences, especially early in the betting cycle, as the market efficiently incorporates new data.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether at least one run is scored during the first inning of the game between Kansas City and Boston. Official game statistics will be used to determine if a run was scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final price will reflect the true outcome of the first inning, providing a clear record of the market’s prediction.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting pitchers for either team – such as an injury or a late change – would likely cause price movement. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also influence the perceived scoring potential. Game-time reports about player lineups or batting orders could also shift the market. Finally, any significant pre-game analysis or expert opinions predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring first inning could drive trading activity and alter the price.