TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
predict
polymarket

Who will win Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets?

Volume:
$631,187

O/U 5.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 5.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 7:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets

View
N/A
N/A
—
$8,219
$9,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets. Markets track both the game winner and a first-inning run-scoring prop, with listings across two prediction platforms showing a critical date mismatch that creates settlement ambiguity.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The predict platform lists the game on July 7 at 7:10PM ET, while polymarket lists it on July 8 at 7:10PM ET. This one-day discrepancy creates ambiguity about which actual MLB game event each market references and introduces settlement failure risk if postponement or makeup scheduling occurs.Hero tip: Before trading, cross-reference the official MLB schedule (MLB.com) to confirm the correct game date. If both platforms reference the same game, the date error on one platform may cause delayed or incorrect resolution. If they reference different games in a series, ensure you are trading the intended market. Request clarification from platform operators before significant position entry.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Game scheduled July 7 at 7:10PM ET. Resolves to Kansas City Royals or New York Mets based on final score. Postponed games remain open; canceled games or ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • polymarket: Game scheduled July 8 at 7:10PM ET (one day later). Winner market and first-inning run prop both reference July 8. Same postponement and cancellation logic. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets, scheduled for July 8 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets, scheduled for July 7 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader supply and demand to discover prices. Sportsbook odds are typically tighter and faster to adjust to sharp money, whereas prediction markets can lag or diverge based on retail participation and platform liquidity. For this matchup, comparing the two reveals whether professional sportsbook pricing or decentralized trader consensus is more bullish on either team.

Polymarket and Predict can show different probabilities on the same event for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, so price discovery happens independently. Polymarket may emphasize one outcome while Predict reflects a different distribution of trader capital. Arbitrage opportunities between the two can persist if transaction costs or withdrawal friction prevent traders from instantly equalizing prices. Monitoring both simultaneously helps you spot mispricings and understand which platform's consensus is leading.

Several catalysts can shift prices before resolution. Roster changes, injury announcements, or lineup updates for either team will ripple through this market quickly. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and recent team performance streaks influence trader positioning. Sportsbook line movements often precede prediction market repricing, so monitoring traditional odds can signal incoming shifts. Breaking news about player availability or managerial decisions in the hours before game time typically triggers sharp repricing. Real-time game action—early runs, momentum swings, or key plays—will drive final price discovery as kickoff approaches.