TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-17 23:15 UTC: If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-17 23:15 UTC: If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though it can still diverge due to differing information or biases among participants. It's common to see prediction markets offer more favorable odds, especially for outcomes that are perceived as less likely by the general public, but this isn't always the case.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment regarding the Royals-Astros game.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas City Royals versus Houston Astros game. The platform will verify the final score against widely available and trusted sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather conditions impacting the game could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance during the game itself, such as a dominant pitching performance or a series of home runs, will also drive price movement. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trader activity on Opinion.