TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner

Volume:
$5,417,341

Chicago WS

 - Kalshi

Chicago WS - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 6:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago WS

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,340,199
N/A
N/A
$1,903,809
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,068,806
N/A
N/A
$1,272,014
Settled
No
predict

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

View
N/A
N/A
—
$757
$8,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kansas City Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago White Sox

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will be leading at the end of the 5th inning in the June 27, 2026 MLB matchup between the Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox. Across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Kansas City to be ahead after five innings stands at 8.0%. The resolution source is the official final statistics from MLB, with credible reporting used as a fallback if official data is not published within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the game's start at 4:10 PM ET on June 27 to see how the early inning action unfolds, as this determines the market outcome rather than the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Predict and Kalshi define resolution on full-game winner, contradicting the event group title 'First 5 Innings Winner.' Kalshi additionally contains a logical error: both Kansas City and Chicago outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves on the 5-inning checkpoint.Hero tip: Do not assume these three markets are fungible. Polymarket is the only platform with correct scope. Predict and Kalshi contain structural errors that create settlement risk. If forced to choose, Polymarket's definition aligns with the stated event group and includes a Draw resolution for ties at the 5-inning mark.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Full-game winner resolution. Resolves to Kansas City or Chicago based on final game outcome. Does not reference 5-inning checkpoint. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Kansas City Royals if the Kansas City Royals win the game.'
  • Kalshi: Full-game winner resolution with logical contradiction. Both Kansas City and Chicago outcomes stated to resolve to Yes, making binary resolution impossible. Key Quote: 'If Kansas City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago WS wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Correct 5-inning checkpoint resolution. Resolves to Kansas City, Chicago, or Draw based on score at end of 5th inning. Includes postponement and cancellation handling. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Kansas City Royals if the Kansas City Royals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 27 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the Kansas City vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 27 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and real money at stake. This market's odds reflect what informed traders believe will happen, often incorporating faster-moving information than traditional books. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where sharp money disagrees with the consensus, signaling potential value or mispricing.

Key catalysts include regular-season performance, playoff seeding announcements, and injury updates for star players on both rosters. Trade-deadline moves, managerial decisions, and bullpen depth changes can reshape perceived championship odds. Playoff results—particularly early-round upsets or dominant performances—will trigger sharp repricing as the field narrows. Media narratives around momentum, home-field advantage, and head-to-head history also influence trader positioning. Monitor beat reporters and official league communications for breaking news that could shift this market's trajectory.