TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles - First 5 Innings Winner
polymarket

Who will win the first 5 innings: Royals or Orioles?

Volume:
$155

Baltimore Orioles

 - Polymarket

Baltimore Orioles - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 7:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Baltimore Orioles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kansas City Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 10 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 10 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the MLB first 5 innings winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for which team will lead after the first five innings of play between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles. The interface displays current probabilities for each outcome, historical price charts, and trading volume data. This market captures early-game momentum and pitching performance, offering traders a focused window into the contest before the full nine innings conclude. Volume metrics help traders assess market depth and liquidity throughout the event window.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. For this market, prediction market prices may respond faster to breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes than sportsbooks, which adjust more cautiously to manage liability. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool, meaning larger trades move the odds more significantly than smaller ones. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures real-time discovery of fair value as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, after the conclusion of the first five innings. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead when the fifth inning ends, verified against credible public sources including official MLB records and broadcast data. Once the result is confirmed and finalized, traders' positions settle automatically based on the correct outcome. Early resolution may occur if one team is mathematically eliminated before the fifth inning concludes.

Several catalysts can shift odds before this market resolves. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends influence early-game expectations. Weather conditions at game time, such as wind direction or temperature, affect ball carry and scoring potential. Injury updates or unexpected roster changes can alter perceived strength. Early game momentum—runs scored, defensive plays, or pitcher effectiveness in the first few innings—will drive sharp repricing as traders react to live action and adjust their positions accordingly.