TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kansas City pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

Kansas City pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$72,264

65+ wins

 - Kalshi

65+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,559
N/A
N/A
$1,831
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

70+ wins

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,405
N/A
N/A
$4,470
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

80+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,121
N/A
N/A
$9,958
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

85+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,942
N/A
N/A
$5,897
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

75+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,639
N/A
N/A
$4,230
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

90+ wins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,109
N/A
N/A
$3,251
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

95+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
$486
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball team's regular season performance will be measured by the number of wins achieved in 2026, tracked across multiple win thresholds.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Kansas City's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total determines which outcome applies, with each threshold representing a progressively higher performance level. Ties are not counted as wins for purposes of determining the final win total.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, creating opportunities for informed traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This difference in pricing can be a valuable signal for those seeking an edge in forecasting the Kansas City baseball season.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its forecasts.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official standings of the Kansas City professional baseball team at the end of the season. The final record will be used to determine whether the conditions of the market have been met. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected trades, or a significant shift in team performance – either positive or negative – would likely cause price fluctuations. Key game outcomes against strong opponents, changes in coaching staff, or even weather patterns affecting game schedules could also influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters the perceived probability of the Kansas City team’s success is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.