TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball team's regular season performance will be measured by the number of wins achieved in 2026, tracked across multiple win thresholds.
Resolution is based on Kansas City's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total determines which outcome applies, with each threshold representing a progressively higher performance level. Ties are not counted as wins for purposes of determining the final win total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its forecasts.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official standings of the Kansas City professional baseball team at the end of the season. The final record will be used to determine whether the conditions of the market have been met. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected trades, or a significant shift in team performance – either positive or negative – would likely cause price fluctuations. Key game outcomes against strong opponents, changes in coaching staff, or even weather patterns affecting game schedules could also influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters the perceived probability of the Kansas City team’s success is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.