TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Current" if Kansas City Current score more goals than San Diego Wave FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego Wave FC" if San Diego Wave FC score more goals than Kansas City Current in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Current" if Kansas City Current score more goals than San Diego Wave FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego Wave FC" if San Diego Wave FC score more goals than Kansas City Current in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus without a built-in spread. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure and no house edge to protect. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or highlight where the broader market disagrees with professional oddsmakers on this matchup's second half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) model, where buying or selling shares shifts the probability curve in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as a Kansas City Current second half win, a draw, or a San Diego Wave FC win—has its own share pool, and the cost to buy or sell reflects the current implied probability. As traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts continuously, creating a dynamic equilibrium that balances supply and demand. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without intermediaries.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half of the Kansas City Current versus San Diego Wave FC match is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official final score or result as recorded by the NWSL and major sports data providers. Resolution occurs after all relevant match data is confirmed and any potential disputes or clarifications are resolved through standard league channels.
Several catalysts could shift odds before and during the second half. Team news—such as injuries, substitutions, or tactical changes announced at halftime—often triggers sharp repricing. Early second half goals or momentum swings can dramatically alter win probability. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards are high-impact in-game events. Pre-match roster updates, coaching statements, or recent form trends may also influence trader positioning. As the match progresses, live score updates and real-time performance metrics will drive continuous price adjustments, making this market highly responsive to unfolding events on the pitch.