TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a professional NWSL soccer match between Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC scheduled for July 17, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Kansas City win, draw, and San Diego Wave FC win. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Friday, July 17, 2026 between Kansas City Current and San Diego Wave FC.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Kansas City vs San Diego Wave FC NWSL match scheduled for July 17, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each possible outcome—Kansas City victory, San Diego Wave FC victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and risk management to balance their books; prediction markets rely on traders buying and selling shares to discover prices. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when retail or professional traders spot perceived value. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing the two can highlight where market participants see opportunity relative to conventional betting venues.
Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics and risk appetites, leading to temporary price gaps. Differences in market design—such as fee structures, order-book depth, and settlement rules—also influence how quickly prices converge. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but gaps can persist if transaction costs or platform friction outweigh the profit opportunity.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any weather or venue changes. Significant trades or volume spikes on either platform can also shift prices as new money enters the market. Media coverage, expert analysis, and social sentiment may influence retail traders. Late-breaking news—such as a star player's status or tactical shifts—typically triggers sharp repricing in the final hours before kickoff.