TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:12 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC: If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Chiefs". If the Miami Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC: If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Chiefs". If the Miami Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by user predictions, tends to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd with less built-in margin. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets as a more accurate reflection of true probabilities, though both offer valuable information for informed decision-making.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and opinions. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the Chiefs will win, they'll buy 'Chiefs win' contracts, driving up the price and, consequently, the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism provides a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game. Any official adjustments or rulings made by the relevant sporting authorities will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result, allowing for a transparent and reliable settlement process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to changes in trading volume and price adjustments as traders react to new information.