TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 3:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Harry Kane scores at least one goal during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the France vs England FIFA World Cup Third-place match scheduled for July 18, 2026, 21:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. Own goals by Harry Kane do not count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 18, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Harry Kane scores at least one goal during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the France vs England FIFA World Cup Third-place match scheduled for July 18, 2026, 21:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. Own goals by Harry Kane do not count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 18, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader supply and demand. This market may price the outcome differently than traditional sports betting sites, sometimes offering sharper or more reactive pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and informed traders disagree, though both are valid reference points for assessing probability.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the last executed trade and the depth of pending orders on each side. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to equilibrate supply and demand, creating a real-time probability estimate. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, after the match concludes and the final result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether the player scores at least one goal during the event, verified against credible public sources and official match records. Once the result is established, the market settles automatically and winnings are credited to correct positions. All trading halts at market close, so plan your exit strategy accordingly.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team lineup announcements, injury reports, and tactical changes announced by coaching staff often trigger sharp price moves. Pre-match analysis from credible sports media, historical head-to-head performance data, and recent form trends also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue details, and late-breaking news closer to kickoff can accelerate volatility. Monitor official team communications and reputable sports news outlets to stay ahead of market-moving developments.