TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 7:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Harry Kane records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Andrej Kramarić in the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC, as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Harry Kane and Andrej Kramarić in the respective team's Player Stats sections. For the purposes of this market, if either Harry Kane or Andrej Kramarić is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 17, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Harry Kane records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Andrej Kramarić in the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC, as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Harry Kane and Andrej Kramarić in the respective team's Player Stats sections. For the purposes of this market, if either Harry Kane or Andrej Kramarić is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 17, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and information flow. This market aggregates beliefs from many independent participants rather than a single bookmaker's model. Comparing the implied probability here to pregame sportsbook lines on shots on target or player performance props can reveal where the crowd sees edge or mispricing. Both sources offer valuable signals, but prediction markets often incorporate late-breaking information faster.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the cumulative bids and asks from the trading community, with the spread between buy and sell prices tightening as liquidity increases. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or recent form—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the match. Team lineup announcements, injury reports, or tactical changes involving either player will influence trader positioning. Recent form, head-to-head history, and opponent defensive strength are key inputs traders monitor. Pre-match press conferences and warm-up reports often trigger late repricing. Additionally, betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can move odds sharply if they hold strong conviction about one player's shot volume. Real-time match flow—early goals, red cards, or substitutions—will also drive trading activity right up until resolution.