TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns a competitive League of Legends match between two esports teams scheduled for September 7, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures victory in the second map of the match, reflecting strategic gameplay and team performance under pressure.
The event resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the Circuito Desafiante 2026 match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and INTZ e-Sports, scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body’s publication. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the match. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set by a bookmaker and don't change until the event begins.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas versus INTZ e-Sports match. The team declared the winner by the official game organizers will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or INTZ e-Sports could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, in-game performance during the early stages of the series, even before Map 2 begins, could provide clues and cause the market to react. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move the market.