TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the first map of the same League of Legends match between the two teams. The result hinges on which team's strategies and skills dominate in the initial map, setting the tone for the broader contest.
The event resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the Circuito Desafiante 2026 match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and INTZ e-Sports, scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body’s publication. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals expressing their true beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, allowing for continuous trading. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas versus INTZ e-Sports League of Legends match. The winning team on Map 1 will determine the winning contract in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available game data to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or INTZ e-Sports could shift expectations. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early game events in other matches on the same day, might also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in similar League of Legends competitions could also cause a reassessment of team strengths, leading to price adjustments in this market.