TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kabilio Jaffa and Maccabi Bney Reine. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 17, 2026, between Kabilio Jaffa and Maccabi Bney Reine. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are offered: Kabilio Jaffa win, Maccabi Bney Reine win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will be resolved at a fair price. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities involved. It’s not uncommon to see this market assign a higher probability to an outcome that sportsbooks deem less likely, or vice versa, offering a valuable point of comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kabilio Jaffa vs. Bney Reine match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kabilio Jaffa vs. Bney Reine match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of the market at the time the result is known.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily impact prices, creating opportunities for arbitrage or speculative trading as the market adjusts to new information leading up to Sep 17, 2026.