TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the UEFA Europa League match between KÍ and KKS Lech Poznań scheduled for August 13, 2026. The markets cover various possible scorelines and resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between KÍ and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań match originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates whether the total goals scored by both Klaksvik and Lech Poznan during the regulation time of their Europa League match exceed specified thresholds. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts. If the cumulative goals meet or surpass any of the defined thresholds—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Each threshold represents a distinct market, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive output. All markets are independent, and the resolution is based exclusively on the official match result as recorded by the governing league. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced probabilities rather than set operator margins. In this market, prices adjust instantly with each trade, capturing nuanced opinions on exact score outcomes. Sportsbooks typically offer broader categories like match winner or over/under goals, smoothing probabilities to include their built-in edge. Traders here can react faster to news, lineup changes, or in-game momentum, which can create pricing gaps. Comparing both shows how public sentiment diverges from institutional lines.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences arise because each platform attracts distinct user bases and liquidity pools, shaping price discovery. Polymarket may have deeper volume in certain outcomes, pushing its probabilities toward crowd consensus, while Kalshi could reflect sparser betting or regional biases. Trading mechanics, fee structures, and accessibility also influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. These factors combine to create temporary or sustained divergences in how each venue prices possible scorelines.