TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KÍ" if KÍ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Kauno Žalgiris" if FK Kauno Žalgiris are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KÍ" if KÍ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Kauno Žalgiris" if FK Kauno Žalgiris are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show stronger or weaker conviction than sportsbook spreads depending on how informed traders assess the teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Direct comparison requires converting between decimal, fractional, and implied probability formats, but the underlying question—which team scores first—remains identical across venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome trades as a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes sums to 100 percent. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team will score first, with payouts determined by the final price at which they exit their position. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects current liquidity and market uncertainty around the event.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result, including official team announcements, sports news outlets, and league records. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout automatically. No further action is required from participants after the event concludes and the result is verified.
Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly shift odds, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Weather conditions on match day may favor one side's playing style. Pre-match commentary from analysts and coaches often influences trader positioning. Late lineup confirmations and betting patterns from professional syndicates can trigger sharp moves. As the match approaches, this market typically tightens as uncertainty resolves and traders finalize their positions based on final team sheets and field conditions.