TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to traditional sportsbook spreads can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree. Such gaps sometimes signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both venues ultimately reflect genuine uncertainty about the final score.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability assigned to each result. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, though prices adjust continuously as new information and wagers arrive. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without a traditional bookmaker setting fixed lines.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the KÍ versus FK Kauno Žalgiris fixture concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full-time, with no ambiguity about which team scored how many goals. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout automatically, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines, especially if key players are unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. Late-breaking developments such as managerial changes or unexpected absences may trigger repricing across all exact score outcomes. As kickoff approaches, this market typically tightens around the most likely scorelines, with lower-probability results becoming cheaper. Real-time match events, once play begins, will drive final price adjustments.