TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris?

Volume:
$593,976

Reg Time: Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$199,102
N/A
N/A
$118,762
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$4,997
$5,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

KAU

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$724
$5,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Kauno

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93,780
N/A
N/A
$68,217
Settled
No
polymarket

FK Kauno Žalgiris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

KI

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$873
$4,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Klaksvik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163,452
N/A
N/A
$120,570
Settled
No
polymarket

KÍ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the UEFA Champions League match between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 21, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0% across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by UEFA via https://www.uefa.com/. The key catalyst to monitor will be the official match result on the scheduled match date, July 21, 2026, which will settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Team name mismatch (KÍ vs Klaksvik) and fundamentally different market structures. Kalshi's market conflates three mutually exclusive outcomes into a single Yes resolution, creating logical impossibility. Polymarket and Predict use standard three-way binary structure.Hero tip: This divergence indicates a potential data integrity failure on Kalshi or a reference to an entirely different match. Verify the actual UEFA Champions League fixture on July 21, 2026 before trading. Do not assume these markets reference the same event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: (1) KÍ win resolves Yes if KÍ wins, No otherwise; (2) Draw resolves Yes if match ends 0-0 or equal goals, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise; (3) FK Kauno Žalgiris win resolves Yes if Kauno wins, No otherwise. Resolution source: Official UEFA statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Predict: Identical structure to Polymarket: three separate binary markets on KÍ win, Draw, and FK Kauno Žalgiris win. Same resolution source (official UEFA or credible reporting) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Event labeled as 'UEFA Champions League game'.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to Yes: 'If Klaksvik wins... then Yes. If Kauno wins... then Yes. If Tie... then Yes.' This creates logical incoherence—all outcomes resolve identically. Team name is 'Klaksvik' (Faroese club), not 'KÍ' (Icelandic club). No explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Klaksvik vs Kauno Champions League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a Klaksvik victory, a Kauno victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between KÍ and FK Kauno Žalgiris.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the KÍ vs. Kauno Žalgiris match across Polymarket and Predict, allowing you to monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes simultaneously. Traders on each platform continuously update their positions based on team news, injury reports, and historical performance, creating a live consensus view of match expectations. By tracking both venues side-by-side, you can spot pricing inefficiencies and compare how different trader populations assess the same event. The dashboard displays current odds, 24-hour volume trends, and key outcome probabilities to help you make informed trading decisions.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to establish prices. This often means prediction markets react faster to breaking news and reflect crowd sentiment more dynamically than sportsbooks, which adjust more cautiously to protect their margins. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate for binary outcomes because traders face direct financial consequences for mispricing. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities.

Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match media. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and historical performance trends in similar matchups can also shift trader sentiment. Major news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements as the market reprices risk. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity may influence momentum. Close to kickoff, final team lineups and any last-minute developments typically drive the most volatile price swings as uncertainty resolves.