TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Juventus
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 30, 2026
Closed: Aug 29, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Juventus FC will win their Serie A match against Parma Calcio 1913. The aggregated consensus probability for Juventus FC to win stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from Serie A. The match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome on August 29, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using the same primary resolution source and handling edge cases like cancellations uniformly.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Serie A)Core resolution logic:
- Resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties
- Use official statistics from Serie A governing body as the primary resolution source
- If official results are unavailable within 2 hours after the match, use consensus of credible reporting
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed
- Cancellation with no make-up game: Juventus and Parma win markets resolve to No; Draw market resolves to Yes on Polymarket and Limitless, but Kalshi resolves Yes for all outcomes
- Abandoned or awarded match: Resolve based on the official final result recognized by the governing body
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between Juventus FC and Parma Calcio 1913.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Juventus vs Parma Calcio professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the named team (Juventus, Parma Calcio) secures a victory within regular time. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers results from the standard match duration, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 29, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity differences between Polymarket and Kalshi can cause price gaps, since each venue has its own user base and trading volume. Market design choices — like fee structures or minimum tick sizes — also shape how odds evolve. Additionally, timing of trades and regional interest patterns may push one platform’s pricing away from the other, reflecting varied participant sentiment rather than contradictions in the underlying event.
