TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Juventus FC and AC Milan, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Juventus FC and AC Milan, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows bettors to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of an outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. It’s important to note that prediction markets often adjust more quickly to new information and changing circumstances than traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Juventus or Milan will score first in the first half. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations. The current price indicates the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, Juventus or Milan, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the result. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 6, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Juventus or Milan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact the market. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect perceived scoring probabilities. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.