TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two Italian teams. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to ensure a fair outcome.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Italy Serie A2 basketball game between Juvecaserta 2021 and Real Sebastiani Rieti, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If Real Sebastiani Rieti wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Juvecaserta's market resolves to No. Conversely, if Juvecaserta 2021 wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Real Sebastiani Rieti’s market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injuries – and as the event approaches, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, depending on how the market interprets the new data. It’s a dynamic comparison, and often a useful one for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Italian basketball game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Juvecaserta 2021 versus Real Sebastiani Rieti basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Juvecaserta 2021 or Real Sebastiani Rieti would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions (if affecting travel) could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major news related to the teams’ recent performance or internal issues could impact the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations and inform your trading decisions.