TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Justin Bieber: Weekly Streams
kalshi

Justin Bieber: Weekly Streams

Volume:
$24

Above 477M

 - Kalshi

Above 477M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 477M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 481M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 475M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 476M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 478M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 479M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 480M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 482M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 483M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 484M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 485M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Justin Bieber will accumulate over 480 million worldwide streams on Luminate during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 49.5%, while the alternative threshold of 478 million streams is at 49.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate data for that specific week. Watch the final streaming counts released on or around June 1, 2026, when Luminate publishes its weekly tracking data for the May 22–28 period.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders pricing in their expectations for Justin Bieber's weekly stream count. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on historical trends and subjective judgment, prediction markets aggregate distributed information through financial incentives. Analysts may publish streaming projections based on chart performance and touring schedules, but the market odds represent a dynamic consensus that updates as new data emerges closer to the resolution week in late May 2026.

The Justin Bieber: Weekly Streams market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Luminate stream count for Justin Bieber during the week of May 22–28, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether his total streams for that seven-day period meet or exceed 477 million. Luminate is the industry-standard music streaming data provider, ensuring an objective, verifiable settlement based on actual streaming metrics reported at market close.

Several factors could shift odds before the May 2026 resolution. New music releases or singles during that week would likely drive streaming volume upward. Tour announcements, social media viral moments, or playlist placements on major platforms could amplify listener engagement. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or a quiet week in his promotional calendar might suppress streams. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports in late May could also trigger sharp price movements as traders adjust positions based on emerging performance signals.