TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 15.5M
- Kalshi
Above 15.5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Closed: Aug 4, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Justin Bieber achieves exceptionally high single-day global view counts on YouTube during a specific week in 2026. The outcome depends on whether his daily views surpass various thresholds at any moment during that period.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on whether Justin Bieber attains specific single-day global YouTube view count thresholds during the period from July 27 to August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold—ranging from above 15.25 million to above 17 million views. For any given market, if Justin Bieber's global daily views on YouTube exceed the stated threshold at any point during the specified dates, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets rely on the same data source: the global daily view counts displayed on YouTube Charts for Justin Bieber, with "Global" selected as the location filter. The markets are independent; meeting one threshold does not automatically satisfy markets with higher thresholds. No endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the market operator is implied; references to YouTube charts are used descriptively only.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning day will be the one with the highest official daily view count for Justin Bieber between July 27 and August 2, 2026, as reported by accepted sources. No further interpretation is needed — the raw numbers decide the result.
Between now and Aug 4, 2026, anything that shifts fan engagement or platform algorithms could move this market. Major social media posts, concert announcements, viral challenges, or even technical changes to how views are counted may cause rapid price swings. Traders will watch platform metrics, trending hashtags, and any media coverage that suggests a surge in daily viewership for Justin Bieber as the July 27 to August 2 window approaches.
