TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 15M
- Kalshi
Above 15M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Closed: Aug 29, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether a popular musician achieves specific daily view thresholds on a global scale during a defined week. The outcome depends on real-time audience engagement metrics across all platforms for the specified period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Justin Bieber attains various incremental global daily view thresholds on YouTube during the week of August 24 to August 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count benchmark, ranging from above 14 million to above 17 million views per day. The market resolves to 'Yes' if, at any point during the specified week, Bieber's global daily views exceed the respective threshold for that market. All view counts are verified using YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about Justin Bieber’s potential to surpass certain view thresholds during the week. Volume of $49,338 shows overall interest in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Justin Bieber during that week will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds, determining which contract — for above or below that number — settles as the winner.
News about Justin Bieber’s upcoming releases, live performances, or social media activity could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Any unexpected surge in viewership — perhaps driven by a viral moment or platform algorithm change — may cause rapid price changes as participants adjust their bets ahead of the final count.
