TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 3:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the album Justice achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during a designated week in June. Resolution is based on worldwide streaming data collected during the June 19-25 tracking period.
If Justice has above 37,635,232 Worldwide Streams during the June 19 - June 25, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than individual expert opinion. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio announcements, production timelines, and press releases, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders who have financial skin in the game. When major news breaks—such as official release confirmations or scheduling delays—prediction market prices typically adjust faster than published analyst updates, making them a useful real-time barometer alongside conventional entertainment reporting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share costs between $0 and $1, with the current market price reflecting the aggregate belief about whether Justice will stream this week. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution. The platform's transparent pricing model means you can see the exact bid-ask spread and trade history at any moment, enabling informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether Justice officially streams on a major platform within the specified timeframe. Once the event window closes, verified reporting from entertainment news outlets and official platform announcements will determine whether the yes or no outcome is correct. Traders holding the winning shares will receive their payout automatically.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Official announcements from streaming services or the production studio would have immediate impact, as would credible reports about release scheduling changes or delays. Social media momentum, trailer releases, or celebrity endorsements can also influence trader sentiment. Industry news about competing releases or platform strategy shifts may affect perceived likelihood. Additionally, any insider leaks or trade publication scoops about the show's status could trigger rapid repricing as new information reaches the market.