TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
polymarket

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

Volume:
$152,379

Armenia

 - Polymarket

Armenia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 9:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Armenia

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
Yes
polymarket

Azerbaijan

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

San Marino

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Croatia

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Portugal

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Spain

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

France

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

North Macedonia

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Italy

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Montenegro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Cyprus

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Malta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Ireland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Ukraine

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Albania

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Netherlands

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Poland

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Georgia

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
N/A
9mo 1d
No
polymarket

Country A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country O

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts for the Junior Eurovision contest. While polls and expert opinions offer predictions, they often focus on popularity and artistic merit. This market, however, reflects what participants believe will *actually* happen, incorporating a wider range of factors, including political voting patterns and stage performance. Discrepancies between this market and polls may indicate that traders possess information or insights not captured by conventional analysis.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Junior Eurovision contest is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results announced by the European Broadcasting Union will serve as the basis for determining the winning country. The market will then settle to 100% probability for the winning nation and 0% for all others. Trading will cease once the official results are known and verified.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. National final performances, the release of official music videos, and promotional activities by each country's representative will all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected positive or negative press coverage, changes in voting patterns observed in pre-contest polls, and even social media buzz surrounding a particular artist could all lead to shifts in the odds. Any major event impacting a country's participation or perceived chances could also move this market considerably.