TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 6:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first set in a professional tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Marco Trungelliti at the 2026 US Open. It focuses on determining which player will claim victory in that initial set. The result reflects the competitive performance of the athletes in the early stages of their match at one of tennis's major tournaments.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays allow the market to remain open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks after the match finishes. In cases of retirement during the match, any markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a Fair Market Price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based solely on the officially recorded winner of the first set in the match, ensuring an objective and transparent conclusion for all participants on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market before Aug 30, 2026. Key matches involving either player may shift trader expectations based on performance metrics such as serve efficiency, break points converted, or set point differentials. Injuries, strategic adjustments, or even weather conditions affecting play could also impact odds. Additionally, media coverage highlighting strengths or weaknesses might sway trader sentiment. As the event approaches, any updated rankings or recent form data could cause noticeable movements in this market.