TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Julius Randle's Next Team
kalshi

Julius Randle's Next Team

Volume:
$23,294

Brooklyn

 - Kalshi

Brooklyn - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 9:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brooklyn

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,729
N/A
N/A
$8,429
3w 19h
Yes
kalshi

Stays with Minnesota or Retires

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,424
N/A
N/A
$7,537
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
$565
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Memphis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$193
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Charlotte

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
$66
3w 19h
No
kalshi

San Antonio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Indiana

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Washington

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Denver

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Orlando

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Houston

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Phoenix

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

New Orleans

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Boston

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

New York

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
kalshi

Miami

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 19h
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which team Julius Randle will play for next, with Detroit priced at 49.5% on Kalshi. The alternative outcome—Randle joining or remaining with a different team—is also at 49.5%. Resolution hinges on official NBA transaction confirmation via the league's official channels. Watch for trade deadline activity and free agency announcements leading up to October 21, 2026, when the market resolves based on Randle's confirmed team assignment.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Julius Randle signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the Minnesota Timberwolves or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news, but prediction markets can reveal longer-term consensus about Randle's destination. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders are more bullish on specific outcomes.

The market resolves on Oct 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by official NBA sources confirming which team Julius Randle signs with or is traded to. The outcome must be a binding agreement—whether through free agency, trade, or contract extension—recognized by the league. Once a team is officially announced, the corresponding contract settles at 100 cents and all other outcomes resolve to zero. Early resolution may occur if Randle signs before the end date.

Key catalysts include NBA free agency announcements, trade deadline activity, and roster moves by contending teams. Randle's performance metrics, injury status, and public statements about preferred destinations will influence trader positioning. Coaching changes, front-office decisions, and salary cap flexibility across franchises can shift probabilities significantly. Media reports linking Randle to specific teams often trigger sharp price moves. Contract negotiations and extension deadlines create natural volatility windows. Broader NBA news—draft outcomes, star player movements—can indirectly affect demand for Randle's services and reshape market expectations.