TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jubilo I and Vanraure Hachinohe in Japan's J2 League. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Jubilo I wins, Vanraure Hachinohe wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jubilo I vs Vanraure Hachinohe professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs with real money. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jubilo I vs Vanraure Hachinohe match, as reported by official sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. The platform will handle the payout process automatically based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Jubilo I or Vanraure Hachinohe would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any news related to team tactics, coaching changes, or even weather conditions on match day could introduce volatility. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, influencing trader behavior and driving price fluctuations.