TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of at least two goals. It specifically tracks the performance of the teams during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half. The outcome depends solely on the goal difference between the two teams in that designated period.
The event determines whether either Juarez or Pumas UNAM will secure a first-half victory by a margin of more than 1.5 goals in their scheduled Liga MX match on July 31, 2026. If Juarez achieves this dominant first-half win, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Conversely, if Pumas UNAM accomplishes the same feat, the market resolves positively for their outcome. Only goals scored during the first half are considered for resolution. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants based on the synthesized conditions of both primary rules.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, who continuously adjust prices based on new information and shifting expectations. These odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by analysts and may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or broader market trends. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in perception and potential value opportunities for bettors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome in this market. The platform calculates prices based on order book depth and recent trades, reflecting collective trader sentiment about the first-half performance gap between the teams. Volume of $8,007 shows how actively participants are engaging with the contract.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match statistics for the first half, specifically the score difference relative to the set spread. No further interpretation or external data is required beyond what is publicly recorded for the game.
Injuries, lineup changes, or recent form for key players can shift expectations and move this market sharply. Weather conditions, tactical decisions by coaches, or even early momentum in pre-match friendlies may influence trader sentiment. Any news affecting either team’s likely performance in the first half—such as suspension updates or strategic adjustments—could cause rapid price changes as the match nears.