TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second set in the Juan Manuel Cerundolo versus Martin Landaluce match during the 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32. On Kalshi, Cerundolo is favored to win set 2 at 51.5%, while Landaluce holds 44.0% probability. The market resolves based on the official result from the professional tennis match as documented by the French Open. Watch for the match completion on or around May 30, 2026, when the second set result will determine the resolution.
On Kalshi, the Set 2 winner outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability each player wins that specific set. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a continuous order-book model where traders buy and sell shares at real-time prices, with the contract value ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As match conditions evolve—such as momentum shifts, break points, or serve performance—the price adjusts to reflect updated trader expectations. Kalshi's transparent pricing mechanism allows you to see exactly what the market believes about each outcome at any moment.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026 or shortly after the Set 2 of the Cerundolo vs Landaluce match concludes, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined by the official result of that specific set as recorded by the tournament or match authority. Once the set winner is confirmed, the contract settles to reflect the correct outcome. Traders holding positions on the winning side receive full payout, while those on the losing side receive nothing. The resolution process is automatic once the official result is available.
Several factors can shift market pricing for the Set 2 winner before the match begins or during play. Pre-match signals include recent tournament form, head-to-head records, court surface preference, and any injury or illness announcements. During Set 1, momentum and tactical adjustments become critical—a dominant first set by either player often influences Set 2 expectations. Serve consistency, break-point conversion, and fatigue levels also drive real-time price movement. Weather conditions and crowd dynamics may further influence trader sentiment. Each of these elements can trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi as new information becomes available.