TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise set score outcome of a specific tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. It focuses on whether the match concludes with one player winning by a particular margin in sets. The resolution depends entirely on the official match result as recorded by tennis authorities.
The event resolves based on the exact set score of the Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. A market resolves to Yes only if the specified player wins with the exact set score outlined in the market title (e.g., 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2). If the match does not occur due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes. In cases of retirement during play, markets can resolve based on completed play; unresolved markets settle at Fair Market Price determined by the Exchange. The Exchange retains sole discretion in Fair Market Price determinations. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible exact score. The current price reflects the collective belief of participants about which score is most likely. Top outcome chances are displayed dynamically, and volume shows how much trading activity has occurred, helping users gauge market confidence or uncertainty as the event nears.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by the official match result will settle all contracts, matching trader predictions to the actual final score.
Key signals such as player form, recent match statistics, injury updates, or weather conditions could shift expectations and move this market. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any last-minute changes to lineups or court conditions can cause rapid adjustments in odds and volume, reflecting updated probabilities for each exact score outcome.