TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Arthur Gea in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Arthur Gea in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the outcome '37 or more total games'. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability assessment. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs about the event’s likelihood, as they can profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of whether the total number of games will exceed 37.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official total number of games played in the Juan Manuel Cerundolo versus Arthur Gea match. The market will determine whether that total is 37 or more. The final result will be sourced from official tournament results and verified by Limitless to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 2, 2026. News regarding player injuries or changes in form for either Juan Manuel Cerundolo or Arthur Gea would likely have a significant impact. Updates on playing conditions, such as the court surface or weather, could also shift expectations. Even broader tennis news, like upsets in other tournaments, might influence trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a long match, with 37 or more total games, could lead to price movement in this market.