TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will prevail during the second half of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup match, or whether the teams will finish level. On Kalshi, a tie in the second half currently stands at 38.0%, while Jordan winning the second half is at 31.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the second half following the June 27, 2026 kickoff, as determined by FIFA World Cup records. Watch for team lineups and tactical adjustments announced before the match begins on June 27, 2026, as these will signal each squad's approach to the second-half battle.
Resolution is based on which team scores more goals during the second half of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026. Jordan resolves Yes if they outscore Argentina in the second half; Argentina resolves Yes if they outscore Jordan. A tie resolves Yes if no goals are scored during the second half or if both teams score an equal number of goals. Only goals scored after halftime count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and collective trader intelligence rather than individual expert opinion. In this market, traders are financially motivated to price outcomes accurately, which can lead to more dynamic and responsive odds than static analyst predictions. Comparing the current odds here to published forecasts from sports analysts or betting experts can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk. Many traders use this comparison as a signal to identify potential mispricings or validate their own views on the second half outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing prices to move in real time. This mechanism ensures that the odds you see represent the most recent consensus among active market participants.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the second half of the Jordan vs Argentina match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period only. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and any official confirmation of the score. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand the final result and any relevant match details.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements can alter perceived second-half performance. First-half results will likely have a major impact, as scorelines and momentum heading into halftime influence expectations for the second half. Betting market movements and social media sentiment may also signal shifting trader confidence. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or other match-day developments could prompt repricing. Close monitoring of official team communications and live match updates will help you anticipate and react to market-moving events.