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405,232

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2,693

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5

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Jordan vs. Argentina - Halftime Result
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Jordan vs. Argentina - Halftime Result

Volume:
$4,335,814

Mexico wins 1st Half

 - Kalshi

Mexico wins 1st Half - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 10:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mexico wins 1st Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,085,597
N/A
N/A
$1,125,956
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$487,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ARG

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$114,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$757,793
N/A
N/A
$478,809
Settled
No
kalshi

Ecuador wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$631,433
N/A
N/A
$467,364
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

JOR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$150
$7,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
$150
$19,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the first half of the Mexico vs Ecuador match will end in a tie, with a consensus probability of 53.0% across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi. Mexico winning the first half carries a 23.0% probability. The market resolves based on the official result from the governing body or event organizers within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch for the June 27, 2026 kickoff, as the betting window closes once the match begins and the first-half outcome is determined.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic is inconsistent across the three mutually exclusive outcome markets. The Draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while Argentina and Jordan markets resolve NO, creating a logical contradiction in the event of game cancellation.Hero tip: Monitor for any game postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs with no make-up game, expect the Draw market to resolve YES while Argentina and Jordan markets resolve NO. This asymmetry may create arbitrage or hedging opportunities depending on market pricing before the match.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict & polymarket (Draw market): Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • predict & polymarket (Argentina & Jordan markets): Argentina and Jordan markets resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on goal scoring during the first half of the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 30, 2026, measured after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The team that scores more goals during this period wins the first half. If both teams score an equal number of goals or no goals are scored during the first half, the result is a tie. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates halftime outcome predictions for the Jordan vs. Argentina match across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays real-time odds, consensus probabilities, and trading volume for each possible halftime result: Jordan leading, Argentina leading, or a draw. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, the dashboard reveals which outcome the prediction market community favors and how conviction shifts as match day approaches. This cross-platform view helps traders identify consensus and spot pricing divergences between venues.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are often more dynamic than traditional sportsbook halftime lines. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed or slow-moving odds with built-in margins, while prediction markets update continuously based on trader activity. For this Jordan vs. Argentina halftime event, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook odds due to different liquidity pools, user bases, and risk models. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how professional oddsmakers view the matchup relative to the crowd.

Key catalysts include team news such as injury updates, lineup announcements, and tactical shifts. Recent form, head-to-head records, and player availability will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at kickoff, referee assignments, and venue factors may shift halftime outcome probabilities. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and media narratives can drive volume spikes and repricing. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster changes or pre-match interviews often trigger sharp moves. Real-time match events—early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts—will drive the most dramatic repricing in the final minutes before halftime.