TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Argentina will outscore Jordan by more than 1.5 goals during the first half of their FIFA World Cup matchup. On Kalshi, Argentina winning by over 1.5 goals in the first half stands at 92.0%, while Jordan achieving the same feat is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official first-half result of the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game. Watch for the conclusion of the first half on June 27, 2026, which will determine the final resolution.
Resolution is determined by the goal differential during the first half of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this event. The event includes thresholds for both Jordan winning the first half by more than 1.5 goals and Argentina winning the first half by more than 1.5 goals. Each threshold resolves independently based on whether the actual first-half margin exceeds 1.5 goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information about the first half spread. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, typically rely on team statistics, recent form, and expert judgment. Markets often incorporate breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, weather—faster than published analyst reports. Comparing Kalshi odds to expert predictions can reveal where the crowd may be overvaluing or undervaluing outcomes. If analysts and markets diverge significantly, that gap may signal an opportunity or highlight uncertainty the experts themselves acknowledge.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Jordan vs Argentina first half spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific spread outcome occurring in the opening 45 minutes. The price you see—ranging from $0 to $1—represents the market's consensus likelihood. Traders buy at higher prices if bullish on that outcome or sell at lower prices if bearish. Kalshi's order book matches buyers and sellers in real time, so the price adjusts continuously based on supply and demand until the market resolves at the end date.
The Jordan vs Argentina first half spread market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first half result of the match and whether the spread outcome specified in the contract occurs. The market will settle based on the final score at halftime and the exact spread criteria defined in the contract terms. Check the market details on Kalshi for the precise spread threshold and any tie-breaking rules before trading.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, last-minute injury announcements, and weather conditions at kickoff. Tactical adjustments or coaching changes can shift expectations for first half tempo and scoring. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing as traders react in real time. Media reports about player fitness or squad rotation may also move odds before the match begins. Monitor official team announcements and sports news closely, as prediction markets respond quickly to new information that affects first half dynamics.