TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the goal differential between Jordan and Algeria during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 22, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether one team wins by more than 1.5 goals during the second half. Only goals scored in the second half count toward this market.
The market resolves based on the goal differential during the second half of the Jordan vs Algeria match. Jordan wins if they outscore Algeria by more than 1.5 goals in the second half; Algeria wins if they outscore Jordan by more than 1.5 goals in the second half. Only goals scored during the second half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) count toward this calculation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets like this one aggregate real money bets from many traders, often producing forecasts that differ meaningfully from traditional analyst consensus. While sports analysts may rely on team statistics, injury reports, and historical matchups, prediction market odds incorporate those factors plus live trader conviction and dynamic information flow. This market's odds represent a decentralized consensus that can sometimes outpace or diverge from published expert picks, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks on binary outcomes tied to the second half spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the probability traders assign to it, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts, and the mid-market price updates to reflect the latest consensus on whether Jordan will beat, miss, or tie the spread in the second half.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the second half of the Jordan vs Algeria match concludes and the final margin is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual point differential in the second half to the specified spread. Traders who correctly predicted whether the result would fall above, below, or equal the spread receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any lineup changes announced before kickoff. Live performance in the first half can significantly shift expectations for the second half, as traders adjust odds based on momentum, fatigue, and tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking news about player availability may also trigger sharp price moves as the match approaches and unfolds.