TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ali Iyad Olwan or Riyad Mahrez records either a goal or an assist during the Jordan vs Algeria FIFA World Cup match on June 22, 2026. The resolution covers the entire match including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.
Each player's performance is evaluated across the entire match duration, including regulation, stoppage, and extra time. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair market price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, resolution is determined by whether they record at least one goal or one assist during their time on the pitch.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while this market is priced by traders responding to real-time information and each other's bids. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and late-developing intelligence faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines, making them useful for comparing consensus sentiment on player performance outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last matched transaction—and moves as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before market close, and the bid-ask spread represents the current disagreement between buyers and sellers on the true probability of a goal or assist.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the Jordan vs Algeria match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether the specified player records a goal or assist during regulation and extra time. Official match records and verified sports data sources confirm the final tally, and the market settles based on that confirmed event outcome.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often trigger sharp moves as traders reassess player involvement. Pre-match analysis from credible sports commentators and updated odds from major sportsbooks can also influence sentiment. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and opponent defensive strength reported closer to kickoff may prompt final repricing. Live match developments, including early goals, substitutions, or momentum shifts, will drive continuous trading activity until the final whistle.