TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the assist performance of Ali Iyad Olwan and Riyad Mahrez during the Jordan vs Algeria FIFA World Cup match on June 22, 2026. Different outcomes correspond to varying assist thresholds for each player across the entire match including regulation, stoppage, and extra time.
Each player's assist count is tracked throughout the entire match duration, including regulation, stoppage, and extra time periods. Players are evaluated on tiered assist thresholds: Ali Iyad Olwan at 1+ assists and Riyad Mahrez at 1+ and 2+ assists. If a player is active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair market price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, resolution is determined by the total number of assists they record.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money stakes. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants directly profit from accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing the two reveals where the broader market consensus on assists differs from professional oddsmakers' views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders holding positions profit when their prediction proves correct at resolution, creating strong incentives for accurate pricing. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper order books, while wider spreads suggest less consensus or lower trading activity around the assists outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final assists count will be established after the Jordan vs Algeria match concludes and official statistics are published. Traders holding positions at resolution will be settled based on whether the actual assists total matches the predicted outcome. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new information and team news emerge.
Key catalysts for this market include team roster announcements, injury reports affecting playmakers, recent form and assist trends, and pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts. Lineup changes or tactical shifts by either team could significantly alter expectations around assist volume. Media coverage and expert commentary often shift trader sentiment as the match date nears. Live updates during the game itself will drive final price movements, with each goal or key play potentially reshaping the assists outlook in real time.