TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 4:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktoria Morvayova and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Morvayova' if Viktoria Morvayova advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Viktoria Morvayova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktoria Morvayova and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Morvayova' if Viktoria Morvayova advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Viktoria Morvayova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players or conditions of the Morvayova vs Sorribes Tormo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Morvayova vs Sorribes Tormo match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements that reflect the evolving expectations surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Morvayova vs Sorribes Tormo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the winning player, as determined by the official score. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to their shareholding, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Viktoria Morvayova or Sara Sorribes Tormo could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or shifts in expert analysis could impact the perceived probabilities. Publicly available information and any late-breaking news will be quickly incorporated into the price of shares in this market.