TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Dominik Palan in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Dominik Palan. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Palan' if Dominik Palan advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Dominik Palan in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Dominik Palan. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Palan' if Dominik Palan advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with – and sometimes diverging from – traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis, incorporating expert opinions and aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief, potentially leading to different probabilities, especially if public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or biases among participants in each venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a unit of exposure to a particular result in the Jingshan fight.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers, determining which fighter won the Jingshan fight. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning share holders. The timing of final verification may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the Jingshan fight market before its resolution. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause adjustments. Publicly available analysis from MMA experts, or shifts in fan opinion expressed on social media, could also contribute to price movement. Any information that alters perceptions of the fighters' relative strengths will likely impact trading activity in this market.